Public Health Investments and the Direction of Technological Progress: A Theory of Deskilling during the British Industrial Revolution
Tanguy Le Fur  1@  
1 : New York University [Abu Dhabi]  (NYUAD)  -  Website
PO Box 129188, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates -  United Arab Emirates

The British Industrial Revolution was characterized by the decline in the average level of skills of workers as technological progress was unskill-biased, and the stagnation of life expectancy despite economic development. In this paper, I rationalize these two features of British industrialization in a two-sector growth model in which the direction of technological progress is endogenous and public health investments are the result of profit-maximization by the capitalist class. I show that improvements in life expectancy can generate a switch from unskill- to skill-biased technological progress and a transition to a regime of sustained economic growth. However, unskill-biased technological progress initially reduces capitalists' incentives to undertake investments in public health measures and thereby delays the take-off. The theory is consistent with observations of a declining skill-premium, and simulations of the model provide a convincing account of the dynamics of the Industrial Revolution.


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